Tuesday 10/9 UPDATE: Voluntary Evacuations in Pasco County
Original story from Sunday night:
We passed the peak of hurricane season a month ago, but sure enough here we are learning all about spaghetti models again here in October. The 11pm readings just came out on Tropical Storm Michael. It is likely to reach hurricane strength Monday. But all of the models earlier today had it pointing toward the Florida Panhandle with a likely arrival on Wednesday. All but one still do.
The newest model has one (and only one) spaghetti model that puts the track of the hurricane just south of Tampa.
The official NHC forecast takes #TropicalStormMichael as a hurricane into the #Florida Panhandle late Wednesday. However, tonight's latest model spaghetti plot shifts it slightly more east, one south of Tampa. Still most likely to pass to our northwest. We'll be tracking 24/7. pic.twitter.com/uKb0VkroNj— Ric Kearbey⚡️WTSP (@RicTampaBay) October 8, 2018
Fortunately it’s only 1 of the dozens of models they look at. So for now, no panic. Just something we need to keep an eye on over the next day or so. So instead of freaking out, I’ll just leave this here for good luck.