Monday Hurricane Milton Update: Tampa Area Still In Storm’s Path
The Monday morning data from the National Hurricane Center is in. Hurricane hunters have reported that winds are now at 120MPH at the storm’s center. Greg Dee from ABC Action News says a Category 3 major hurricane is still expected to make landfall Wednesday. Some models, however, have Milton’s arrival early Thursday.
Hurricane watches this morning have been issued for the west coast of Florida. But Greg points out that hurricane force winds should only extend to about 25 miles from the eye. Everyone else will see tropical storm force winds and a lot of rain. Denis Phillips posted this morning that the worst of the wind will be between Tampa and Sarasota. He adds the chances for a significant change in track is dropping the closer we get to landfall.
Surge is a concern again
Where the storm makes landfall is key. For Tampa Bay, if the storm’s center passes north of the Bay in Pinellas or Pasco County, it’d be the worst case scenario for Tampa Bay area residents. Greg says if this happens, we could see surge levels 5 feet higher than they were for Helene. But if landfall is south of the Tampa area, it’d be a complete opposite result where we’d actually see a drop in water levels.
This is not Helene
Hurricane Milton will has a lot of characteristics that make it differ from Helene. This storm will go across the state of Florida instead of heading north 100 miles off our coastline. That means those who didn’t see much activity inland during Helene won’t have it as easy this time.
Also with Hurricane Helene, there was a high degree of certainty in terms of its path and strength. With Milton, the point of landfall and the strength of the storm is still uncertain. We know there will be heavy winds and rain. There will be power outages. But where Milton makes landfall will make a world of difference for your neighborhood.
Evacuations
Greg urgently insisted this morning that residents in the Tampa area pay close attention to evacuation orders. We have all day today and a good part of tomorrow to prepare and make plans. To see the latest list of evacuations, visit this page.
Updates on Air
Denis Phillips and his entire ABC Action News team of weather experts will be joining us on air and online throughout the week with the newest information. The next update from the National Hurricane Center on Hurricane Milton is coming at 11AM.