New TikTok Video Reveals “Chance Of Rain” Doesn’t Mean What We’ve Always Thought
The things we are learning on TikTok these days. Well, here is another one. A woman on TikTok said she just found out the “chance of rain” in a weather…
AUCKLAND, NEW ZEALAND – JULY 01: A pedestrian crosses in the intersection of Queen Street and Victoria Street during heavy rain on July 1, 2014 in Auckland, New Zealand. Heavy…
(Photo by Jason Oxenham/Getty Images)The things we are learning on TikTok these days. Well, here is another one.
A woman on TikTok said she just found out the "chance of rain" in a weather forecast doesn't mean what we have always thought it means. 30% does NOT mean there's a 30% chance it's going to rain.
That 30% is based on what the chances that it's going to rain are multiplied by the percentage of the area that will get the rain.
So "50%" in the forecast doesn't mean there's a 50-50 chance it will rain. It means there's a chance rain will happen in the area, multiplied by how much of the area will probably get that rain.
So if a meteorologist is 50% sure there will be rain that will cover 80% of the local area, that would come out as . . . 40% on the weather forecast.
confused yet? Yeah, us too
We called Greg Dee from ABC Action News to get his thoughts and check out what HE said!!
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