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Tampa Bay’s Morning Krewe

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The things we are learning on TikTok these days.   Well, here is another one.

A woman on TikTok said she just found out the “chance of rain” in a weather forecast doesn’t mean what we have always thought it means.  30% does NOT mean there’s a 30% chance it’s going to rain.

That 30% is based on what the chances that it’s going to rain are multiplied by the percentage of the area that will get the rain.

So “50%” in the forecast doesn’t mean there’s a 50-50 chance it will rain.  It means there’s a chance rain will happen in the area, multiplied by how much of the area will probably get that rain.

So if a meteorologist is 50% sure there will be rain that will cover 80% of the local area, that would come out as . . . 40% on the weather forecast.

confused yet?  Yeah, us too

We called Greg Dee from ABC Action News to get his thoughts and check out what HE said!!


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